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In simple terms, betting against the public means betting against what the majority of people think will happen. Another term for this is “fading” the public. People vote with their money and whatever outcome is being backed most heavily represents what the majority of the betting public thinks will happen.
Betting Against the Public
Betting against the public is a powerful sports betting strategy and when it’s used correctly it can help your bottom line in a big way.
The world is full of casual, largely uninformed sports fans making casual, uninformed bets. The idea that these casual fans are wrong a lot of the time is the cornerstone of betting against the public.
Do you think you know more than the average sports fan? Do you have a good feel for when popular perception is off? Do you regularly notice when there is a media bias overhyping an outcome? By looking for key indicators, you can find fantastic opportunities to bet against public opinion.
In this article, we’ll clearly explain what it is, how it works, and how to use this sports gambling strategy to hopefully win more bets.
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PublicWin Sports Selection
The PublicWin sports selection isn’t the greatest if you compare it to the best online sportsbooks in Romania, but it can be completely sufficient to a punter in and of itself. The most important fact is that PublicWin does a great job of providing the fans of popular sports in Romania with the betting propositions they want to see.
Bet Types and Markets at Public Win Romania
The PublicWin sports you will see on the betting site, and app include just nine propositions. If you don’t want to go off the beaten track, this might prove enough, but if you are looking for something untraditional, then it might not. No matter which side of the fence you are on, this is a drawback that should be noted.
As we hinted already, PublicWin isn’t the place where you can find little-known sports markets. The operator offers strictly traditional betting markets as far as its sports selection is concerned. However, the fact it covers many of the popular soccer leagues is a redeeming feature worth pointing out.
| The Most Popular Sports Markets at PublicWin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soccer (12) | Basketball (8) | Ice Hockey(10) | Tennis (20) | Baseball (4) |
| Bundesliga | Belgium: BLB | Belarus: Extraliga | Wimbledon | MLB |
| Premier League | Czech Republic: NBL | Czech Republic: 1st Liga | French Open | South Korea: KBO League |
| Romania: Liga 1 | Denmark: Basketligaen | Denmark: Superisligoen | US Open | Japan: Professional Baseball |
| La Liga | Germany: BBL | Finland: Liiga | Australian Open | Chinese Taipei CPBL |
| Europa League | Europe Cup | Russia: VHL | ATP Qatar Open | – |
| Champions League | Asia Cup | Russia: KHL | Dubai Tennis Championship | – |
The takeaway from our visit to the PublicWin betting platform is that soccer is the best sport for Romanians to wager on. It might not be as complex as the best soccer sites out there, but certainly has enough to keep punters satisfied. The main soccer leagues in Europe are priced up with odds, and the main fixtures are even covered live.
It’s not an overwhelming selection of sports that PublicWin has on offer, but a silver lining for the Romanian punters is that it has a familiar ring to it. Some of the smaller leagues are not available at the mainstream bookmakers, and this is where the approach of PublicWin is of great service to bettors from Romania.
Live Betting and Streams at PublicWin
The platform of PublicWin Romania comes with a live betting platform where wagers can be placed, and live streams watched in real-time. So far, so good, but there’s a trade-off. The sports you will be able to bet on, and view are not as many as you’d expect them to be.
This segment of the site could use some improvement, but it’s also true that the number of sports there depends on the availability at the moment. All in all, compared to the top live betting sportsbooks PublicWin is underperforming when that specific segment of its service is concerned.
Now, let’s get down to brass tacks. The fact of the matter is at the time of writing, there are only four tabs with live bet propositions. Those are tennis, table tennis, volleyball, and eSoccer; live streams are nowhere to be seen. Again, we are sure this depends on the current availability of fixtures. Generally speaking, though, it’s not all that impressive.
Accumulator Bets at PublicWin Romania
When it comes to multi bets, PublicWin is the place to be. We pulled off a 20-leg bet with ease. The number of selections can go even higher if you see the point in doing something like that. The fact is the operator gives its customers the rare opportunity to make massive accumulator bets and try to win big.
Other operators usually take issue with accumulators bigger than twenty selections or at least try to limit them to a reasonable number. If you are from Romania and want to go on a betting binge, PublicWin sports might just be the right place to do it! Just keep in mind that with every selection, your chances of coming out a winner are greatly reduced.
If you are a risk-averse type of player, you can take advantage of the fact PublicWin works with betting systems. That allows you to make the selections you want and win even if not all of your predictions turn out correct. To learn more about the most frequently used betting system look them up in our informative guide.
Betting Lmits of PublicWin Romania
Whenever you plan out your betting strategy, keep in mind the maximum amount per bet is 4,000 Lei. Even if you do forget, the system will remind you if you exceed the allowed amount. You should keep in mind there are Romanian sportsbooks that accept much bigger bets. We talk about one such operator in our Fortuna sports review for Romania.
On the other hand, 0.5 Lei is good enough for a wager at PublicWin. Not that it would be the brightest idea to stake a promising wager with just 0.5 Lei, but you are free to do so. For players on a tight budget, this could be the deciding factor whether they’ll be able to stay in the game at all. That makes such low betting limits advantageous in our book.
One more side topic that’s often raised when fading the public comes up: point total over/unders. It’s frequently stated that people love to bet overs. It’s basic psychology; rooting for points is fun.
Reverse line movement dissected
Back to that “some winning subsets” that Feinberg mentioned. He elaborated:
“Take a situation like Game 2 of the NBA finals, where Milwaukee was a 5½-point underdog. Eighty-four percent of the money came in on Phoenix. Yet the line closes at 4½. How in the heck does that happen? Well … the 16 percent of people who were betting on Milwaukee, getting 5½ points, included people who do this for a living, who get respect as being a really good gambler — and that’s the side that the bookmakers want to be on, because those gamblers usually win about 54 percent of their bets.
“Fading the public in situations like that, when the line goes the other way — the ‘reverse line movement,’ as people call it — has been, from my experience, a strong situation. And if I’m on the opposite side, it would really give me pause, knowing the sharpest of sharp people are on the other side.”
It should be noted that in the example Feinberg used, Phoenix still covered — a reminder that no betting rules are of the hard-and-fast variety and even those 54-percenters lose 46% of the time.
Sharapan said the bookmakers in the risk rooms tend to share a chuckle over the term “reverse line movement” — not because it isn’t real, but because more and more bettors are talking about it without really understanding it.
“There is some validity to the actual practice of it, but most people don’t know what it’s all about,” Sharapan said. “Back in the day, I might move a line just to see if anybody would be interested — I call this sending out the bat signal. We just want to see if there’s any interest at this other number.
“So, if you’re a bettor, without actually knowing why a line moved, I think you really have to be cautious with this reverse line movement stuff. Don’t just go, ‘Oh, the line’s moving down, that has to be the right side.’ And even if it is the side the sharps are on, the game still has to be played! It’s still sports, it doesn’t always work.”
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That win didn’t cover his losses, however, as Duffel Bag Boy didn’t get to the window with his three-team parlay that included the Minnesota on top of Toledo and Clemson. He also lost on a $100,000 two-team parlay with Boston College (-2) and San Diego State (-10) and a six-figure straight-bet on SDSU.
Sportsbooks Take A Hit In Week 9
Week 9 of the NFL season was not kind to the Vegas sportsbooks. Most of the locations that took the brunt of the losses were primarily on the Strip and tend to do more “tourist” action. That essentially means the predictable bets (favorites and public teams) are made there.
Now, before you go feeling bad for the books let’s remember that they’ve had record profits at the books over the past few years and days that have this big of an impact anywhere in Las Vegas are becoming more and more rare.
Jay Rood, vice president of race and sports at MGM, told ESPN’s David Purdum that this weekend featured the “top 10 all time worst Sundays I can remember.”
Jeff Davis, Caesars’ head of risk operations, told Purdum, “Today’s outcomes have been less than ideal. I don’t know where exactly it’ll fall on our all-time list, but it’s one of the worst NFL Sundays that I can remember.”
Jason McCormick, the sportsbook director at Station Casinos, added to the chorus by calling it the worst Sunday of the season.
The Westgate SuperBook, which attracts less recreational action compared to other properties, also took a loss but compared to the other big books they ended up OK in the grand scheme of things.
“We definitely did lose for the day,” Derek Wilkinson, a supervisor at the SuperBook said. “But not nearly as bad as some other books. Like MGM, for example, I think they take a lot more square action so when all those favorites cover, they get pretty beat up. We didn’t even lose $100,000 today so we’re considering ourselves lucky. We definitely did lose on parlays and teasers, but nothing too crazy.”
Tim Fitzgerald, a supervisor at the South Point sportsbook, had a similar outlook, bad but not historic.
“I’m not going to use the words ‘blood bath’ or ‘destroyed’, it was a bad day, but I’ve seen plenty worse,” Fitzgerald explained. “Over the past few years I tell people we usually have two really bad Sundays in the NFL each year, this was one of them but definitely no worse than that.”
Fitzgerald said the Saints and Dolphins were their two big wins but they lost on a lot of parlays.
“It wasn’t so much the teasers this time, which is often the culprit, it was definitely the parlays,” Fitzgerald noted. “If any of the early games goes against the trend we don’t get banged up nearly as badly. Any one of the Ravens, Browns, Bills, Lions, Bucs, or Redskins and that would have softened the blow. By the time we pulled up the late games on the computer we were essentially already dead because of so much two way action on the late games.”
What softened the blow at both South Point and Westgate was continued unexplained sharp support for the Cleveland Browns. Smart money backing the Browns has been a headscratching theme around Vegas for three years running.
Wise guys are on the Browns. Hey, this time should be different than the last 40 times.
— Chris Andrews (@andrewssports) November 4, 2018
The Cowboys offensive line looks great. The Ezekiel Elliott/Tony Pollard combination is going to be one of the best as long as the line stays healthy. The Eagles defense looks better than expected, but Dallas will be able to move the ball against them.
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